Investigation of egg production curve in ostrich using nonlinear functions

Abstract

In most countries, ostrich farming is considered a developing branch of the efficient poultry industry. The profitability of ostrich farm requires specific consideration of productions features such as the female fertility, egg production, hatchability, and growth performance. Hence, this study aimed to fit nonlinear functions to describe the ostrich egg production pattern to achieve the most appropriate and recommendable mathematical function for future studies. For this purpose, 14,507 daily records of 184 female ostriches in 5 production seasons (periods) during 2016 to 2021 were used. Five nonlinear functions including Incomplete gamma (Wood function), Corrected gamma (McNally), nonlinear Logistic (Yang), Logistic (Nelder), and Lokhorst were fitted for modeling the egg production curve in ostrich. The goodness of fit criteria's including Mean Square Error (MSE), Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT), Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) were used to evaluate and selection of the best function. The results indicated that the Wood and the McNally functions with a slight difference in all fitting criteria were the best-fitted functions and the Yang function with the highest values of MSE, LRT, AIC, BIC, were the most inappropriate function to describe the ostrich egg production curve. The McNally and the Wood can be recommended as appropriate functions to describe egg production during 5 production seasons in the studied ostrich flock.